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Evolution of tropospheric ozone under anthropogenic activities and associated radiative forcing of climate

Identifieur interne : 000217 ( PascalFrancis/Corpus ); précédent : 000216; suivant : 000218

Evolution of tropospheric ozone under anthropogenic activities and associated radiative forcing of climate

Auteurs : D. A. Hauglustaine ; G. P. Brasseur

Source :

RBID : Pascal:02-0139190

Descripteurs français

English descriptors

Abstract

The budget of ozone and its evolution associated with anthropogenic activities are simulated with the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) (version 1). We present the changes in tropospheric ozone and its precursors (CH4, NMHCs, CO, NOx) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m-2. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m-2 DU-1. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m-2 is calculated when a stratospheric tracer is used to approximate background ozone levels. In 2050 an additional ozone forcing of 0.26 W m-2 is calculated, providing a forcing from preindustrial to 2050 of 0.69 W m-2.

Notice en format standard (ISO 2709)

Pour connaître la documentation sur le format Inist Standard.

pA  
A01 01  1    @0 0148-0227
A03   1    @0 J. geophys. res.
A05       @2 106
A06       @2 D23
A08 01  1  ENG  @1 Evolution of tropospheric ozone under anthropogenic activities and associated radiative forcing of climate
A11 01  1    @1 HAUGLUSTAINE (D. A.)
A11 02  1    @1 BRASSEUR (G. P.)
A14 01      @1 Service d'Aéronomie du CNRS @2 Paris @3 FRA @Z 1 aut.
A14 02      @1 Max Planck Institute for Meteorology @2 Hamburg @3 DEU @Z 2 aut.
A20       @1 32337-32360
A21       @1 2001
A23 01      @0 ENG
A43 01      @1 INIST @2 3144 @5 354000100133740480
A44       @0 0000 @1 © 2002 INIST-CNRS. All rights reserved.
A45       @0 2 p.1/4
A47 01  1    @0 02-0139190
A60       @1 P
A61       @0 A
A64 01  1    @0 Journal of geophysical research
A66 01      @0 USA
C01 01    ENG  @0 The budget of ozone and its evolution associated with anthropogenic activities are simulated with the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) (version 1). We present the changes in tropospheric ozone and its precursors (CH4, NMHCs, CO, NOx) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m-2. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m-2 DU-1. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m-2 is calculated when a stratospheric tracer is used to approximate background ozone levels. In 2050 an additional ozone forcing of 0.26 W m-2 is calculated, providing a forcing from preindustrial to 2050 of 0.69 W m-2.
C02 01  X    @0 001E02D04
C03 01  X  FRE  @0 Troposphère @5 26
C03 01  X  ENG  @0 Troposphere @5 26
C03 01  X  SPA  @0 Troposfera @5 26
C03 02  X  FRE  @0 Ozone @2 NK @2 FX @5 27
C03 02  X  ENG  @0 Ozone @2 NK @2 FX @5 27
C03 02  X  SPA  @0 Ozono @2 NK @2 FX @5 27
C03 03  X  FRE  @0 Facteur anthropique @5 28
C03 03  X  ENG  @0 Anthropogenic factor @5 28
C03 03  X  SPA  @0 Factor antrópico @5 28
C03 04  X  FRE  @0 Forçage @5 29
C03 04  X  ENG  @0 Forcing @5 29
C03 04  X  SPA  @0 Forzamiento @5 29
C03 05  X  FRE  @0 Simulation numérique @5 30
C03 05  X  ENG  @0 Numerical simulation @5 30
C03 05  X  SPA  @0 Simulación numérica @5 30
C03 06  X  FRE  @0 Précurseur @5 32
C03 06  X  ENG  @0 Precursor @5 32
C03 06  X  SPA  @0 Precursor @5 32
C03 07  X  FRE  @0 Distribution planétaire @5 34
C03 07  X  ENG  @0 Planetary distribution @5 34
C03 07  X  SPA  @0 Distribución planetaria @5 34
C03 08  X  FRE  @0 Feu végétation @5 35
C03 08  X  ENG  @0 Vegetation fire @5 35
C03 08  X  SPA  @0 Fuego vegetación @5 35
C03 09  X  FRE  @0 Modification climat @5 36
C03 09  X  ENG  @0 Climate modification @5 36
C03 09  X  SPA  @0 Modificación clima @5 36
C03 10  X  FRE  @0 Propriété radiative @5 37
C03 10  X  ENG  @0 Radiative properties @5 37
C03 10  X  SPA  @0 Propiedad radiativa @5 37
C03 11  X  FRE  @0 Gaz effet serre @5 38
C03 11  X  ENG  @0 Greenhouse gas @5 38
C03 11  X  SPA  @0 Gas efecto invernadero @5 38
N21       @1 077
N82       @1 PSI

Format Inist (serveur)

NO : PASCAL 02-0139190 INIST
ET : Evolution of tropospheric ozone under anthropogenic activities and associated radiative forcing of climate
AU : HAUGLUSTAINE (D. A.); BRASSEUR (G. P.)
AF : Service d'Aéronomie du CNRS/Paris/France (1 aut.); Max Planck Institute for Meteorology/Hamburg/Allemagne (2 aut.)
DT : Publication en série; Niveau analytique
SO : Journal of geophysical research; ISSN 0148-0227; Etats-Unis; Da. 2001; Vol. 106; No. D23; Pp. 32337-32360; Bibl. 2 p.1/4
LA : Anglais
EA : The budget of ozone and its evolution associated with anthropogenic activities are simulated with the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) (version 1). We present the changes in tropospheric ozone and its precursors (CH4, NMHCs, CO, NOx) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m-2. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m-2 DU-1. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m-2 is calculated when a stratospheric tracer is used to approximate background ozone levels. In 2050 an additional ozone forcing of 0.26 W m-2 is calculated, providing a forcing from preindustrial to 2050 of 0.69 W m-2.
CC : 001E02D04
FD : Troposphère; Ozone; Facteur anthropique; Forçage; Simulation numérique; Précurseur; Distribution planétaire; Feu végétation; Modification climat; Propriété radiative; Gaz effet serre
ED : Troposphere; Ozone; Anthropogenic factor; Forcing; Numerical simulation; Precursor; Planetary distribution; Vegetation fire; Climate modification; Radiative properties; Greenhouse gas
SD : Troposfera; Ozono; Factor antrópico; Forzamiento; Simulación numérica; Precursor; Distribución planetaria; Fuego vegetación; Modificación clima; Propiedad radiativa; Gas efecto invernadero
LO : INIST-3144.354000100133740480
ID : 02-0139190

Links to Exploration step

Pascal:02-0139190

Le document en format XML

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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The budget of ozone and its evolution associated with anthropogenic activities are simulated with the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) (version 1). We present the changes in tropospheric ozone and its precursors (CH
<sub>4</sub>
, NMHCs, CO, NO
<sub>x</sub>
) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
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. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m
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<sub>4</sub>
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<sub>x</sub>
) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m
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. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m
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is calculated when a stratospheric tracer is used to approximate background ozone levels. In 2050 an additional ozone forcing of 0.26 W m
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<NO>PASCAL 02-0139190 INIST</NO>
<ET>Evolution of tropospheric ozone under anthropogenic activities and associated radiative forcing of climate</ET>
<AU>HAUGLUSTAINE (D. A.); BRASSEUR (G. P.)</AU>
<AF>Service d'Aéronomie du CNRS/Paris/France (1 aut.); Max Planck Institute for Meteorology/Hamburg/Allemagne (2 aut.)</AF>
<DT>Publication en série; Niveau analytique</DT>
<SO>Journal of geophysical research; ISSN 0148-0227; Etats-Unis; Da. 2001; Vol. 106; No. D23; Pp. 32337-32360; Bibl. 2 p.1/4</SO>
<LA>Anglais</LA>
<EA>The budget of ozone and its evolution associated with anthropogenic activities are simulated with the Model for Ozone and Related Chemical Tracers (MOZART) (version 1). We present the changes in tropospheric ozone and its precursors (CH
<sub>4</sub>
, NMHCs, CO, NO
<sub>x</sub>
) since the preindustrial period. The ozone change at the surface exhibits a maximum increase at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere reaching more than a factor of 3 over Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia during summer. The calculated preindustrial ozone levels are particularly sensitive to assumptions about natural and biomass burning emissions of precursors. The possible future evolution of ozone to the year 2050 is also simulated, using the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IS92a scenario to estimate the global and geographical changes in surface emissions. The future evolution of ozone stresses the important role played by the tropics and the subtropics. In this case a maximum ozone increase is calculated in the northern subtropical region and is associated with increased emissions in Southeast Asia and Central America. The ozone future evolution also affects the more remote regions of the troposphere, and an increase of 10-20% in background ozone levels is calculated over marine regions in the southern hemisphere. Our best estimate of the global and annual mean radiative forcing associated with tropospheric ozone increase since the preindustrial era is 0.43 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
. This value represents about 20% of the forcing associated with well-mixed greenhouse gases. The normalized tropospheric ozone radiative forcing is 0.048 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
DU
<sup>-1</sup>
. An upper estimate on our forcing of 0.77 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
is calculated when a stratospheric tracer is used to approximate background ozone levels. In 2050 an additional ozone forcing of 0.26 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
is calculated, providing a forcing from preindustrial to 2050 of 0.69 W m
<sup>-2</sup>
.</EA>
<CC>001E02D04</CC>
<FD>Troposphère; Ozone; Facteur anthropique; Forçage; Simulation numérique; Précurseur; Distribution planétaire; Feu végétation; Modification climat; Propriété radiative; Gaz effet serre</FD>
<ED>Troposphere; Ozone; Anthropogenic factor; Forcing; Numerical simulation; Precursor; Planetary distribution; Vegetation fire; Climate modification; Radiative properties; Greenhouse gas</ED>
<SD>Troposfera; Ozono; Factor antrópico; Forzamiento; Simulación numérica; Precursor; Distribución planetaria; Fuego vegetación; Modificación clima; Propiedad radiativa; Gas efecto invernadero</SD>
<LO>INIST-3144.354000100133740480</LO>
<ID>02-0139190</ID>
</server>
</inist>
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